79th
Accuracy Rank

BlancaElenaGG

Forecasted Questions

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(3 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 01, 2024 12:07AM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 0% 14%
Armenia 1% 1%
Georgia 3% 8%
Kazakhstan 2% 2%

Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 01, 2024 12:11AM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% May 1, 2024 to Nov 1, 2024 Jun 1, 2024 14%
No 99% May 1, 2024 to Nov 1, 2024 Jun 1, 2024 86%

By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 01, 2024 12:13AM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 10%
No 99% 90%

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 01, 2024 12:31AM UTC
(16 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 5% May 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025 Aug 1, 2024 6%
No 95% May 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025 Aug 1, 2024 94%
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