20th
Accuracy Rank

aggaray

About:

I am Electrical Engineer with a Master in Computer Science and one in Economics and Finances. PM4R Professional, ISO 9001:2015 Lead Auditor, LEGO MINDSTORM EV3 Robots Specialist, IEEE Senior Member and active volunteer in many organizations. I work with the Monitoring of the National SDG Agenda and I am an active promoter of STEM Careers, More participation of Women in Engineering, Data Science and the role that Technology and Tech Professionals have in the Sustainable Development of our Communities and the design and implementation of Public Policies.
I do believe data can be and most be used for the Sustainable Development of our Communities and projects like FORETELL should be supported, promoted and replicated as much as possible in US and around the World.

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Forecasted Questions
Open Closed Resolved

[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Sep 14, 2021 06:46PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 80% 35%

How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 19, 2021 02:31AM UTC
(2 years ago)

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 31, 2021 02:07AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% 7% 7%
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive 24% 23%
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% 35% 33%
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% 21% 21%
More than 8% 13% 16%

How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 20, 2021 05:14AM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 11, 2022 12:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 31, 2021 10:54PM UTC
(2 years ago)

What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 31, 2021 10:54PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than -0.25 23% 14%
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive 34% 31%
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 35% 33%
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 6% 17%
More than 0.5 2% 4%

How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 31, 2021 10:54PM UTC
(2 years ago)

How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 09, 2022 11:51PM UTC
(2 years ago)

What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 17, 2022 02:04AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 14% 2% 3%
Between 14% and 16%, inclusive 9% 12%
More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% 34% 31%
More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% 39% 40%
More than 20% 16% 14%

How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 30, 2022 02:54PM UTC
(2 years ago)
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