moving back to 50/50, waiting for the outcome in Rafah.
"Israel’s long-term interests are in Riyadh, not Rafah,”
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moving back to 50/50, waiting for the outcome in Rafah.
"Israel’s long-term interests are in Riyadh, not Rafah,”
Moldova is definitively the most likely from the list as Russia is already interfering there.
https://www.chathamhouse.org/2024/03/moldova-new-battleground-russias-war
This is done
This has already been considered and the offensive could be completed in 48 hours. However, this would be very unlikely unless the Russia-Ukraine is changed to a Russia-NATO conflict.
https://cepa.org/article/code-red-how-russia-conquers-the-baltics/
https://www.intellinews.com/ubn-russia-could-take-the-baltic-states-in-48-hours-317829/
starting, thinking about geographic proximity, so Kharkiv would be the most likely. According to Zelenskiy the offensive will as early as May, we will soon find out.
Tweaking
Increasing slightly
Increasing slightly
reducing slightly
Why do you think you're right?
For the moment, this looks unlikely.
Russian are far from Kyiv, artillery cannot be used.
Russians have already attacked Kyiv with missiles/drones without reaching this level of injuries/casualties, especially since more air defense capabilities are on the way.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/4/27/us-to-provide-patriot-missiles-to-ukraine-as-part-of-6bn-defence-aid
Why might you be wrong?