Wooster

About:

Manager @ Cultivate Labs, bringing crowd forecasting to clients in finance, government, and the corporate world. Background in hedge fund investing at one of the big Canadian pension plans.

You can find me forecasting as Wooster on RANGE and Ziewert on GJO, the other public forecasting platforms powered by Cultivate Labs:

https://www.rangeforecasting.org/forecaster/Wooster
https://www.gjopen.com/forecaster/Ziewert

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Forecasted Questions
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What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 13, 2021 10:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was correct
More than 80% Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 19, 2021 06:23PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was incorrect
More than 80% Answer was correct

What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?

Forecast Count:
 9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jan 31, 2022 05:28PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30 (good reputation) Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 40, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 40 but less than or equal to 50 Answer was incorrect
More than 50 but less than or equal to 60 Answer was incorrect
More than 60 (bad reputation) Answer was incorrect

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Feb 24, 2022 05:08PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
 17 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 27, 2022 11:14PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before January 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect

Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 27, 2022 06:19PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 17, 2022 05:17PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 17, 2022 05:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5 Answer was incorrect
Between 5 and 9, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 10 and 14, inclusive Answer was correct
Between 15 and 19, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 20 Answer was incorrect

Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?

As of Aug 22, 2022 02:36PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 22, 2022 02:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 29, 2022 01:50PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, and it will pass Answer was incorrect
Yes, and it will not pass Answer was incorrect
No Answer was correct
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