Forecasted Questions
How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 06, 2021 04:38PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 06, 2021 04:38PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 29, 2021 07:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 29, 2021 07:23PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Which company will be the largest semiconductor company by sales revenue in 2022?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Nov 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 13, 2022 03:21PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Oct 13, 2022 03:21PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intel | 15% | 16% | -1% | -6% |
| Samsung | 81% | 53% | +28% | -13% |
| TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) | 3% | 30% | -27% | +19% |
| Other | 1% | 0% | +1% | +0% |
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(3 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 25, 2024 07:53PM UTC
(4 months ago)
Jan 25, 2024 07:53PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | +0% |
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
As of May 9, 2024 02:54PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 09, 2024 02:54PM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 09, 2024 02:54PM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | Apr 9, 2024 to Oct 9, 2024 | May 9, 2024 | 10% | +0% | -1% |
| No | 90% | Apr 9, 2024 to Oct 9, 2024 | May 9, 2024 | 90% | +0% | +1% |