20th
Accuracy Rank

aggaray

About:

I am Electrical Engineer with a Master in Computer Science and one in Economics and Finances. PM4R Professional, ISO 9001:2015 Lead Auditor, LEGO MINDSTORM EV3 Robots Specialist, IEEE Senior Member and active volunteer in many organizations. I work with the Monitoring of the National SDG Agenda and I am an active promoter of STEM Careers, More participation of Women in Engineering, Data Science and the role that Technology and Tech Professionals have in the Sustainable Development of our Communities and the design and implementation of Public Policies.
I do believe data can be and most be used for the Sustainable Development of our Communities and projects like FORETELL should be supported, promoted and replicated as much as possible in US and around the World.

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Forecasted Questions
Open Closed Resolved

Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?

Forecast Count:
 10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 29, 2024 02:11PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 12% 11%
No 88% 89%

Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 29, 2024 02:12PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 3% Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024 May 29, 2024 3%
No 97% Apr 29, 2024 to Oct 29, 2024 May 29, 2024 97%

Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 29, 2024 02:13PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 4% Apr 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025 Jul 29, 2024 6%
No 96% Apr 29, 2024 to Apr 29, 2025 Jul 29, 2024 94%

Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 29, 2024 02:21PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 5% 13%
No 95% 87%

Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 29, 2024 02:29PM UTC
(19 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 75% 80%
No 25% 20%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
 9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 07, 2024 06:08PM UTC
(11 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 1% 2%
Oman 1% 2%
Qatar 1% 2%
Saudi Arabia 1% 5%
Tunisia 1% 1%

Will 100 or more people be killed or injured in a Russian attack on the city of Kyiv before 1 June 2024?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(13 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 13, 2024 03:58PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 8% 2%
No 92% 98%

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
 May 13, 2024 05:17PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 1% May 13, 2024 to Nov 13, 2024 Jun 13, 2024 3%
No 99% May 13, 2024 to Nov 13, 2024 Jun 13, 2024 97%
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