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26th
Accuracy Rank
Yifan
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2024 Season
2020 Season
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2023 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023?
0.002908
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will SpaceX launch Starship into orbit before 1 April 2023?
0.002204
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?
0.034351
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023?
-0.000183
Mar 22, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?
0.264661
Mar 19, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will Microsoft's AI-powered “new Bing” be available to the public by 30 April 2023?
-0.245758
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
0.006433
Feb 28, 2023 05:00PM UTC
On 28 February 2023, how many states will be following the California emissions standard banning the sale of new emissions-producing vehicles by 2035?
0.031999
Feb 01, 2023 06:46PM UTC
Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?
-0.000111
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.002417
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.047956
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2022, will Impossible Foods announce a date for their IPO?
-0.000038
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.002463
Jan 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
0.168922
Dec 29, 2022 05:00AM UTC
In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 31, 2022 and Jun 29, 2022)
0.211498
Dec 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022)
-0.000437
Nov 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022)
-0.000687
Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM UTC
Will the U.S. House Subcommittee on Consumer Protection and Commerce vote on the Algorithmic Accountability Act of 2022 before 31 July 2022?
-0.000101
Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM UTC
How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?
0.011963
Jul 23, 2022 04:18PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?
-0.279722
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