INFER Public

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:28AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $30 million		Answer was incorrect
Between $30 million and $70 million, inclusive		Answer was correct
More than $70 million but less than or equal to $110 million		Answer was incorrect
More than $110 million but less than or equal to $150 million		Answer was incorrect
More than $150 million		Answer was incorrect

How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:30AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 30,000		Answer was incorrect
Between 30,000 and 38,000, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 38,000 but less than or equal to 46,000		Answer was incorrect
More than 46,000 but less than or equal to 54,000		Answer was incorrect
More than 54,000		Answer was correct

What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:32AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 0.07		Answer was incorrect
Between 0.07 and 0.08		Answer was incorrect
More than 0.08 but less than or equal to 0.09		Answer was incorrect
More than 0.09 but less than or equal to 0.1		Answer was incorrect
More than 0.1		Answer was correct

What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:34AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 0.25		Answer was incorrect
Between 0.25 and 0.3, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 0.3 but less than or equal to 0.35		Answer was incorrect
More than 0.35 but less than or equal to 0.4		Answer was correct
More than 0.4		Answer was incorrect

What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:38AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 2%		Answer was correct
Between 2% and 3.5%, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 3.5% but less than or equal to 5%		Answer was incorrect
More than 5% but less than or equal to 6.5%		Answer was incorrect
More than 6.5%		Answer was incorrect

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:43AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $440 billion		Answer was incorrect
Between $440 billion and $490 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than $490 billion but less than or equal to $540 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $540 billion but less than or equal to $590 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $590 billion		Answer was correct

Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Oct 28, 2020 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:44AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Oct 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:46AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:48AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $40 billion		Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive		Answer was correct
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $100 billion		Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 14, 2020 03:50AM UTC
(3 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $12 billion		Answer was incorrect
Between $12 billion and $16 billion, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than $16 billion but less than or equal to $20 billion		Answer was correct
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $24 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than $24 billion		Answer was incorrect

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