Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2020 10:21PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 30, 2020 10:21PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 59% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 80% | Answer was incorrect |
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 01, 2021 03:34AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 01, 2021 03:34AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 01, 2021 03:14AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 01, 2021 03:14AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 01, 2021 01:25AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 01, 2021 01:25AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
0-10% | Answer was incorrect | |||
10-20% | Answer was incorrect | |||
20-30% | Answer was incorrect | |||
30-40% | Answer was correct | |||
40-50% | Answer was incorrect | |||
50-60% | Answer was incorrect | |||
60-70% | Answer was incorrect | |||
70-80% | Answer was incorrect | |||
80-90% | Answer was incorrect | |||
90-100% | Answer was incorrect |
Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 19, 2022 12:57AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 19, 2022 12:57AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |