Forecasted Questions
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 01, 2021 01:32AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 01, 2021 01:32AM UTC
(2 years ago)
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 18, 2022 07:38PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 18, 2022 07:38PM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 14% | 22% | 3% | +19% | -2% |
| Between 14% and 16%, inclusive | 54% | 12% | +42% | -5% |
| More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% | 17% | 31% | -14% | -2% |
| More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% | 7% | 40% | -33% | +8% |
| More than 20% | 0% | 14% | -14% | +1% |