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How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 01, 2020 08:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $12 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $12 billion and $16 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $16 billion but less than or equal to $20 billion Answer was correct
More than $20 billion but less than or equal to $24 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $24 billion Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 16, 2020 06:16PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $30 million Answer was incorrect
Between $30 million and $70 million, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $70 million but less than or equal to $110 million Answer was incorrect
More than $110 million but less than or equal to $150 million Answer was incorrect
More than $150 million Answer was incorrect

How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 01, 2020 03:37AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $40 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $40 billion and $60 billion, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $60 billion but less than or equal to $80 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $80 billion but less than or equal to $100 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $100 billion Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2021 03:21AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.45% Answer was incorrect
Between 0.45% and 0.7%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 0.7% but less than or equal to 0.95% Answer was incorrect
More than 0.95% but less than or equal to 1.2% Answer was incorrect
More than 1.2% Answer was incorrect

How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2021 03:22AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $13 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $13 billion and $17 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $17 billion but less than or equal to $21 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $21 billion but less than or equal to $25 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $25 billion Answer was correct

Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2021 03:27AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 31, 2021 03:31PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30 (good reputation) Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 40, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 40 but less than or equal to 50 Answer was incorrect
More than 50 but less than or equal to 60 Answer was incorrect
More than 60 (bad reputation) Answer was incorrect

Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month?

As of Jan 31, 2022 03:31PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 31, 2021 03:31PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 31, 2021 03:37PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?

Forecast Count:
 6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Mar 31, 2022 10:10PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
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