Forecasted Questions
[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 23, 2021 01:32PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 23, 2021 01:32PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | 35% | -35% | -1% |
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 03:11PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 03:11PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the number of Japanese Air Force responses to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 15, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 15, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 23, 2022 06:26PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Mar 23, 2022 06:26PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
As of Sep 24, 2023 06:07PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2023 06:07PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Aug 24, 2023 06:07PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | Aug 24, 2023 to Feb 24, 2024 | Sep 24, 2023 | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(12 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(12 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2023 06:11PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Aug 24, 2023 06:11PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | 10% | 0% | +10% | -23% |