Forecasted Questions
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(3 days from now)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(3 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2023 06:06PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Aug 24, 2023 06:06PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0% | +0% | -8% |
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2023 06:07PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Aug 24, 2023 06:07PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 72% | 15% | +57% | -39% |
| No | 28% | 85% | -57% | +39% |
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(3 days from now)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(3 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2023 06:11PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Aug 24, 2023 06:11PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 0% | +10% | -23% |
Will Australia issue a Level 3 or Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan before 1 July 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2023 06:11PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Aug 24, 2023 06:11PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 1% | +9% | -2% |
| No | 90% | 99% | -9% | +2% |
Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2023 06:11PM UTC
(8 months ago)
Aug 24, 2023 06:11PM UTC
(8 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 2% | +8% | -1% |
| No | 90% | 98% | -8% | +1% |