Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 06, 2021 06:48PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 06, 2021 06:48PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 14% | 2% | 3% | -1% | -4% |
Between 14% and 16%, inclusive | 26% | 12% | +14% | -3% |
More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% | 34% | 31% | +3% | -1% |
More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% | 28% | 40% | -12% | +9% |
More than 20% | 10% | 14% | -4% | -1% |
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2022?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 15, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 06, 2021 06:49PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 06, 2021 06:49PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 2% | 3% | 7% | -4% | -1% |
Between 2% and 4%, inclusive | 27% | 23% | +4% | -1% |
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% | 27% | 33% | -6% | +0% |
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% | 25% | 21% | +4% | +1% |
More than 8% | 18% | 16% | +2% | +1% |
How will the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 06, 2021 07:02PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 06, 2021 07:02PM UTC
(2 years ago)
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 10, 2021 05:29PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 10, 2021 05:29PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than -0.25 | 11% | 14% | -3% | -2% |
Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 32% | 31% | +1% | -1% |
More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 32% | 33% | -1% | +2% |
More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 22% | 17% | +5% | +1% |
More than 0.5 | 3% | 4% | -1% | -1% |
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 17, 2021 10:51PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 17, 2021 10:51PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the percentage of SMIC revenue from 28 nm chips or smaller change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 17, 2021 11:31PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 17, 2021 11:31PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 17, 2021 11:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 17, 2021 11:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 19, 2021 06:07AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 19, 2021 06:07AM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 20, 2021 08:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 20, 2021 08:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)
How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 13, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 21, 2021 05:05PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 21, 2021 05:05PM UTC
(2 years ago)