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Forecasted Questions

By 30 June 2022, will a date be announced for a Mobileye IPO?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 30, 2022 03:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 29, 2022 07:04AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 05, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 04, 2022 09:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 50% Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 50% but less than 60% Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 60% but less than 70% Answer was correct
More than or equal to 70% but less than 80% Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 80% Answer was incorrect

How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 22, 2022 12:11PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than or equal to 74 Answer was incorrect
Between 75 and 99, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 100 Answer was correct

Will the Council of the European Union announce sanctions on the provision of cloud services to Russia before 31 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 31, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 23, 2022 01:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 23, 2022 02:09PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 28, 2022 04:27PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes, and it will pass Answer was incorrect
Yes, and it will not pass Answer was incorrect
No Answer was correct

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of Sep 7, 2022 09:17AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2022 09:17AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months?

As of Sep 7, 2022 09:19AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2022 09:19AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of Sep 7, 2022 09:19AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 07, 2022 09:19AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Brothers of Italy Party (FdI) win the most seats in the 2022 Italian general election?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 25, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 18, 2022 07:40PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct
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