INFER Public

Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?

Question Ends:
Dec 31, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 25, 2022 11:01AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 30, 2022 10:38AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Before January 1, 2022		Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022		Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022		Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022		Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022		Answer was incorrect

When will the end of day closing value for the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar drop below 75 Rubles to 1 USD?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 26, 2022 08:30PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Before 1 April 2022		Answer was incorrect
Between 1 April 2022 and 30 April 2022, inclusive		Answer was correct
Between 1 May 2022 and 31 May 2022, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Not before 1 June 2022		Answer was incorrect

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?

As of Aug 25, 2022 03:57PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 25, 2022 03:57PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?

Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
May 29, 2022 01:48PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was correct

In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies?

As of Jul 1, 2022 09:12PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 01, 2022 09:12PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How much revenue will Intel report for the second quarter of 2022?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 09, 2022 12:58PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than $17 billion		Answer was correct
More than or equal to $17 billion but less than $18 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $18 billion but less than $19 billion		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to $19 billion		Answer was incorrect

On 30 June 2022, how much funding will Crunchbase’s “Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year” report that those companies have raised?

Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jun 30, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 20, 2022 09:28AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than or equal to 200 million		Answer was incorrect
More than 200 million but less than 250 million		Answer was incorrect
Between 250 million and 300 million, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than 300 million		Answer was correct

Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 27, 2022 06:36PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes		Answer was incorrect

How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)

Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 27, 2022 06:53PM UTC
(2 years ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 5		Answer was incorrect
Between 5 and 9, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
Between 10 and 14, inclusive		Answer was correct
Between 15 and 19, inclusive		Answer was incorrect
More than or equal to 20		Answer was incorrect

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