Forecasted Questions
By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 17, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Nov 17, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
As of Dec 17, 2023 09:00PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 17, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Nov 17, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||||
Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023?
Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 17, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Nov 17, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire in the next month?
As of Dec 17, 2023 09:00PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Nov 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Nov 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 17, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Nov 17, 2023 09:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||||
Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2023 02:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Dec 04, 2023 02:00PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days ago)
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
(20 days ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2023 02:01PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Dec 04, 2023 02:01PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president by 31 December 2023?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(5 months ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 04, 2023 02:02PM UTC
(6 months ago)
Dec 04, 2023 02:02PM UTC
(6 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||