Factor

Silicon Valley protests

77% of stakeholders believe an increase in Silicon Valley protests would negatively affect the DoD-Silicon Valley relationship.

U.S. political polarization

Metric:

Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the “Big 5” tech companies against the company’s involvement with DoD in the next four quarters (year)?

Factor-metric correlation positive.

An increase in this metric indicates an increase in this factor; a decrease in this metric indicates a decrease in this factor.

Stakeholder forecast summary:
  • Aggregate forecast. 46%
  • Disagreement. High (STD 30%)

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More information on stakeholder and crowd forecasts forthcoming.

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