Forecasted Questions
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 09, 2020 04:06PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 09, 2020 04:06PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 09, 2020 04:10PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 09, 2020 04:10PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $300 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $300 billion and $450 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $450 billion but less than or equal to $600 billion | Answer was correct | |||
More than $600 billion but less than or equal to $750 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $750 billion | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 09, 2020 04:13PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 09, 2020 04:13PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 09, 2020 05:36PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 09, 2020 05:36PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 5,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 5,000 and 7,500, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 7,500 but less than or equal to 10,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to12,500 | Answer was correct | |||
More than12,500 | Answer was incorrect |
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 09, 2020 05:41PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 09, 2020 05:41PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 20,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 20,000 and 35,000, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 35,000 but less than or equal to 50,000 | Answer was correct | |||
More than 50,000 but less than or equal to 65,000 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 65,000 | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 09, 2020 05:49PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 09, 2020 05:49PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 0.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 1.5% | Answer was incorrect |
How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 09, 2020 05:54PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 09, 2020 05:54PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 675 | Answer was correct | |||
Between 675 and 750, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 750 but less than or equal to 825 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 825 but less than or equal to 900 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 900 | Answer was incorrect |
Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 15, 2020 06:27PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 15, 2020 06:27PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 21, 2020 02:32PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 21, 2020 02:32PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 21, 2020 02:37PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 21, 2020 02:37PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 2% | Answer was correct | |||
Between 2% and 4% inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 8% | Answer was incorrect |