Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 11, 2020 12:32AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 11, 2020 12:32AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 1.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 6% | Answer was incorrect |
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 17, 2020 10:22PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 17, 2020 10:22PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $200 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million | Answer was correct | |||
More than $500 million | Answer was incorrect |
Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 18, 2020 05:25PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 18, 2020 05:25PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 16, 2020 06:14PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 16, 2020 06:14PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $30 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $30 million and $70 million, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
More than $70 million but less than or equal to $110 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $110 million but less than or equal to $150 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $150 million | Answer was incorrect |