Forecasted Questions
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 21, 2020 04:38AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 21, 2020 04:38AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 3% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 3% and 5%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 5% but less than or equal to 7% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 7% but less than or equal to 9% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 9% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 24, 2020 03:34AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 24, 2020 03:34AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 08, 2020 12:23AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 08, 2020 12:23AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 18, 2021 03:56AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jan 18, 2021 03:56AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 15% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 15% and 17%, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 17% but less than or equal to 19% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 19% but less than or equal to 21% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 21% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 26, 2021 04:00AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Feb 26, 2021 04:00AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 26, 2021 04:17AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Feb 26, 2021 04:17AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||