Forecasted Questions
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 29, 2020 03:31AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 29, 2020 03:31AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 29, 2020 03:38AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 29, 2020 03:38AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 29, 2020 03:45AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 29, 2020 03:45AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $200 million | Answer was correct | |||
| More than $200 million but less than or equal to $500 million | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between $500 million and $800 million, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $800 million but less than or equal to $1.1 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than $1.1 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 29, 2020 03:51AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 29, 2020 03:51AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 29, 2020 03:58AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 29, 2020 03:58AM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 1.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||