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How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 04, 2020 03:09PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 5,000 and 7,500, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 7,500 but less than or equal to 10,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to12,500 Answer was correct
More than12,500 Answer was incorrect

Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 18, 2020 06:18PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 19, 2020 02:43AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5% Answer was correct
More than 1.5% Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 19, 2020 03:05AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 26, 2020 08:09PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 26, 2020 08:12PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 26, 2020 08:15PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 04, 2020 06:54PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was incorrect
Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million Answer was incorrect
More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was correct
More than $500 million Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 04, 2020 06:56PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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