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Forecasted Questions

How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 04, 2020 08:54PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 5,000 and 7,500, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 7,500 but less than or equal to 10,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to12,500 Answer was correct
More than12,500 Answer was incorrect

Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 09:58PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 11:00PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 1.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% Answer was correct
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% Answer was incorrect

Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 11:41PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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