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Forecasted Questions

What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 05, 2020 04:10PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $190 billion Answer was incorrect
Between $190 billion and $230 billion, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $230 billion but less than or equal to $270 billion Answer was correct
More than $270 billion but less than or equal to $310 billion Answer was incorrect
More than $310 billion Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 05, 2020 04:25PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $200 million Answer was incorrect
Between $200 million and $300 million, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than $300 million but less than or equal to $400 million Answer was incorrect
More than $400 million but less than or equal to $500 million Answer was correct
More than $500 million Answer was incorrect

What will the ratio of AI publications to machine learning research job postings be for Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, combined, in 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2020 07:57PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 0.3 Answer was incorrect
Between 0.3 and 0.6, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 0.6 but less than or equal to 0.9 Answer was incorrect
More than 0.9 but less than or equal to 1.2 Answer was correct
More than 1.2 Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 08, 2020 07:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 08, 2020 07:47PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 08, 2020 07:56PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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