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Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 27, 2020 12:47AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 29, 2020 03:14PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30% Answer was incorrect
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% Answer was correct
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% Answer was incorrect
More than 60% Answer was incorrect

What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jun 29, 2020 03:31PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 2% Answer was correct
Between 2% and 4% inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% Answer was incorrect
More than 8% Answer was incorrect

Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 04, 2020 06:15PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 29, 2020 06:43PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 29, 2020 06:44PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 29, 2020 06:46PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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