samuelmcurtis

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Forecasted Questions

Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 10, 2020 10:48PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 10, 2020 11:10PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30% Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 33%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 33% but less than or equal to 36% Answer was correct
More than 36% but less than or equal to 39% Answer was incorrect
More than 39% Answer was incorrect

How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 10, 2020 11:19PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 6,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 6,000 and 8,000, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 8,000 but less than or equal to 10,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to 12,000 Answer was correct
More than 12,000 Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. government cancel or shorten the 24-month STEM extension to the Optional Practical Training program by July 17, 2020?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 18, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 15, 2020 01:31PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 28, 2020 01:30AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 28, 2020 01:35AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 3% Answer was incorrect
Between 3% and 5%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 5% but less than or equal to 7% Answer was incorrect
More than 7% but less than or equal to 9% Answer was correct
More than 9% Answer was incorrect

Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 28, 2020 01:40AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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