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Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 18, 2021 12:37AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 05, 2021 03:45AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 800 Answer was incorrect
Between 800 and 4,000 Answer was correct
More than 4,000 but less than or equal to 20,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 20,000 but less than or equal to 100,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 100,000 Answer was incorrect

Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 05, 2021 03:46AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 17, 2021 12:44PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 17, 2021 12:45PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 20, 2021 12:00AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between September 1, 2021 and February 28, 2022, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 31, 2021 10:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 31, 2021 07:32AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jul 15, 2022 03:47PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 16, 2021 12:49AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of Nov 26, 2021 11:59PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 26, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Oct 01, 2022 12:00PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Oct 26, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before January 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Between April 1, 2022 and June 30, 2022 Answer was correct
Between July 1, 2022 and September 30, 2022 Answer was incorrect
Not before October 1, 2022 Answer was incorrect
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