Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2022?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Apr 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2021 12:19AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 30, 2021 12:19AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 14% | 13% | 3% | +10% | -3% |
| Between 14% and 16%, inclusive | 18% | 12% | +6% | -5% |
| More than 16% but less than or equal to 18% | 21% | 31% | -10% | -3% |
| More than 18% but less than or equal to 20% | 24% | 40% | -16% | +10% |
| More than 20% | 24% | 14% | +10% | +1% |
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2021 12:24AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 30, 2021 12:24AM UTC
(2 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than -0.25 | 8% | 14% | -6% | -2% |
| Between -0.25 and 0, inclusive | 22% | 31% | -9% | -1% |
| More than 0 but less than or equal to 0.25 | 31% | 33% | -2% | +3% |
| More than 0.25 but less than or equal to 0.5 | 24% | 17% | +7% | +1% |
| More than 0.5 | 15% | 4% | +11% | -1% |