Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 22, 2020 07:07PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 22, 2020 07:07PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 0.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 0.5% and 1.0%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 1.0% but less than or equal to 1.5% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 1.5% | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 22, 2020 07:26PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 22, 2020 07:26PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 30% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 60% | Answer was incorrect |
Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 30, 2020 03:07PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 30, 2020 03:07PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 10, 2020 09:00PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 10, 2020 09:00PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 26, 2020 07:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 26, 2020 07:09PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 3% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 3% and 5%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 5% but less than or equal to 7% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 7% but less than or equal to 9% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 9% | Answer was incorrect |
Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 26, 2020 10:22PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 26, 2020 10:22PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 23, 2020 07:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 30, 2020 09:05PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 30, 2020 09:05PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than $190 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between $190 billion and $230 billion, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $230 billion but less than or equal to $270 billion | Answer was correct | |||
More than $270 billion but less than or equal to $310 billion | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than $310 billion | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 06, 2020 08:15AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 06, 2020 08:15AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 2% | Answer was correct | |||
Between 2% and 4% inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 8% | Answer was incorrect |
Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 13, 2020 09:02PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 13, 2020 09:02PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 14, 2020 02:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 14, 2020 02:12PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |