Forecasted Questions
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 31, 2021 08:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 31, 2021 08:06PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 5.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 5.5% but less than or equal to 7% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 7% and 9.5%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 9.5% and 12%, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
More than 12% | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jul 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 30, 2021 02:05AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 30, 2021 02:05AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 01, 2021 04:03AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 01, 2021 04:03AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Oct 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2021 05:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Sep 30, 2021 05:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 7,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 7,500 and 9,500, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
More than 9,500 but less than or equal to 11,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 11,500 but less than or equal to 13,500 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 13,500 | Answer was incorrect |
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts
8 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 30, 2021 08:38PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Nov 30, 2021 08:38PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters?
As of Apr 1, 2022 01:45AM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jun 01, 2022 02:33PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 01:45AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 01:45AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 01, 2022 02:32AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Jan 01, 2022 02:32AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 30 (good reputation) | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 30 and 40, inclusive | Answer was correct | |||
More than 40 but less than or equal to 50 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 50 but less than or equal to 60 | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 60 (bad reputation) | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?
As of Sep 16, 2022 08:02PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 16, 2022 08:02PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Aug 16, 2022 08:02PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |