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Forecasted Questions

What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2021 03:42AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5.5% Answer was incorrect
More than 5.5% but less than or equal to 7% Answer was incorrect
Between 7% and 9.5%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
Between 9.5% and 12%, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 12% Answer was incorrect

When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2021 03:52AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before February 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
Between February 17 and May 19, 2021, inclusive Answer was incorrect
After May 19, but before or equal to November 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
After November 17, 2021 Answer was correct

What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 29, 2021 04:31AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 59% Answer was incorrect
Between 59% and 66%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 66% but less than or equal to 73% Answer was incorrect
More than 73% but less than or equal to 80% Answer was incorrect
More than 80% Answer was correct

Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 12, 2021 04:46AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 06, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 12, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 12, 2021 05:10AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 12, 2021 05:38AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 28, 2022 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 01, 2021 02:07AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30 (good reputation) Answer was incorrect
Between 30 and 40, inclusive Answer was correct
More than 40 but less than or equal to 50 Answer was incorrect
More than 50 but less than or equal to 60 Answer was incorrect
More than 60 (bad reputation) Answer was incorrect

Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 01, 2021 02:48AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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