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Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 08, 2021 02:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Apr 19, 2021 07:21PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2021 02:27PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2021 02:33PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 01, 2022 03:59AM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 01, 2021 02:38PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 1 Forecast
Question Ends:
 Aug 17, 2021 01:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Jul 15, 2021 01:25PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?

Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Aug 06, 2021 07:06AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months?

As of Jan 24, 2022 02:43PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Sep 01, 2022 11:00AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 24, 2021 02:43PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

Forecast Count:
 7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 24, 2021 02:45PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month?

As of Jan 24, 2022 02:45PM all of your forecasts have expired. You don't have an active forecast in this question.
Forecast Count:
 2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
 Dec 31, 2021 11:59PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
 Dec 24, 2021 02:45PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect
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