Forecasted Questions
Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 23, 2020 05:42AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 23, 2020 05:42AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 23, 2020 05:45AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 23, 2020 05:45AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 23, 2020 06:08AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 23, 2020 06:08AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 30% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 60% | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 23, 2020 06:16AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 23, 2020 06:16AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 1.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% | Answer was correct | |||
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 6% | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Nov 11, 2020 04:52PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 23, 2020 06:25AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 23, 2020 06:25AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 28, 2020 08:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 28, 2020 05:42PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 28, 2020 05:42PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Less than 2% | Answer was correct | |||
Between 2% and 4% inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 4% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 6% but less than or equal to 8% | Answer was incorrect | |||
More than 8% | Answer was incorrect |
Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 03, 2020 06:24AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 03, 2020 06:24AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was correct |
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 17, 2021 05:28PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 17, 2021 05:28PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yes | Answer was incorrect |