Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Mar 22, 2021 06:11PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Mar 22, 2021 06:11PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 1.5% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 6% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 05:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 22, 2021 05:02PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 22, 2021 05:02PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before February 17, 2021 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between February 17 and May 19, 2021, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| After May 19, but before or equal to November 17, 2021 | Answer was incorrect | |||
| After November 17, 2021 | Answer was correct | |||
Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
(2 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 22, 2021 05:45PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Apr 22, 2021 05:45PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 19, 2021 03:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 08, 2021 01:13PM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 08, 2021 01:13PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Jun 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 08, 2021 01:25PM UTC
(3 years ago)
May 08, 2021 01:25PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||