Forecasted Questions
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 22, 2020 06:18PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jun 22, 2020 06:18PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than 30% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| Between 30% and 40%, inclusive | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% | Answer was correct | |||
| More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% | Answer was incorrect | |||
| More than 60% | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 12, 2020 05:07PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 12, 2020 05:07PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was correct | |||
Will the U.S. government cancel or shorten the 24-month STEM extension to the Optional Practical Training program by July 17, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 18, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 18, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 12, 2020 05:09PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 12, 2020 05:09PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 19, 2020 05:16PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Jul 19, 2020 05:16PM UTC
(4 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 30, 2020 12:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2020 05:43PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 20, 2020 05:43PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 20, 2020 05:44PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 20, 2020 05:44PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 21, 2020 04:28PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 21, 2020 04:28PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Sep 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 24, 2020 07:11AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Aug 24, 2020 07:11AM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||
Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Oct 28, 2020 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 28, 2020 01:00PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 27, 2020 10:26PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Oct 27, 2020 10:26PM UTC
(3 years ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | Answer was incorrect | |||