maitreyi-sistla

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Forecasted Questions

How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Feb 25, 2021 06:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 11, 2020 09:47PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 5,000 Answer was incorrect
Between 5,000 and 7,500, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 7,500 but less than or equal to 10,000 Answer was incorrect
More than 10,000 but less than or equal to12,500 Answer was correct
More than12,500 Answer was incorrect

Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 04:21PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 18, 2021 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 04:26PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 1.5% Answer was incorrect
Between 1.5% and 3%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 3% but less than or equal to 4.5% Answer was correct
More than 4.5% but less than or equal to 6% Answer was incorrect
More than 6% Answer was incorrect

What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jun 18, 2020 04:36PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than 30% Answer was incorrect
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive Answer was incorrect
More than 40% but less than or equal to 50% Answer was correct
More than 50% but less than or equal to 60% Answer was incorrect
More than 60% Answer was incorrect

How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 07, 2020 09:59PM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 09, 2020 09:37PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than $30 million Answer was incorrect
Between $30 million and $70 million, inclusive Answer was correct
More than $70 million but less than or equal to $110 million Answer was incorrect
More than $110 million but less than or equal to $150 million Answer was incorrect
More than $150 million Answer was incorrect

Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
(4 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jul 09, 2020 10:30PM UTC
(4 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes Answer was correct

When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 01, 2020 12:52AM UTC
(3 years ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Before February 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
Between February 17 and May 19, 2021, inclusive Answer was incorrect
After May 19, but before or equal to November 17, 2021 Answer was incorrect
After November 17, 2021 Answer was correct
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