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Science & Technology
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 09:00PM UTC
(8 months)
Forecasting new scientific and technological advancements and their impact on society and governance.
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Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
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268
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1268
13%
Chance
Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
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184
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946
4%
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By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Closing
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
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147
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368
8%
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Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
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93
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626
2%
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Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
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76
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201
80%
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Will a collaboration between Huawei and the O-RAN Alliance be announced before 1 October 2025?
Closing
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
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33
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69
17%
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Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
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25
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55
56%
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