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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or offensive missile-related facility in the next 6 months?
Closing
May 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
15
·
18
8%
Chance
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Closing
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
65
·
150
6%
Chance
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 12 months?
Closing
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
59
·
147
15%
Chance
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?
Closing
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
58
·
143
12%
Chance
Will Iran be impacted by a cyberattack targeting critical infrastructure between 27 February 2024 and 1 March 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
63
·
182
81%
Chance
Will Iraq return its ambassador to Iran in the next month?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
61
·
231
7%
Chance
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
75
·
244
8%
Chance
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
64
·
272
2%
Chance
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Closing
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
138
·
765
55%
Chance
Will Houthi rebels execute an attack against an Israeli civil or military vessel in the next 6 months?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
82
·
444
18%
Chance
1
2
3
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