Factor

U.S. trust of military/government

71% of stakeholders believe an increase in U.S. trust of military/government would positively affect the DoD-Silicon Valley relationship

U.S. trust of military/government

Metric:

Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)?

Factor-metric correlation negative.

An increase in this metric indicates an increase in this factor; a decrease in this metric indicates a decrease in this factor.

Stakeholder forecast summary:
  • Aggregate forecast.10%
  • Disagreement. Medium (STD 11%)

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U.S. trust of military/government

Metric:

According to a December 2018 Pew Research Center survey, 16% of surveyed U.S. residents had “none” or “not too much” trust in the military. Assuming the same question is asked in August 2022, what will the percentage be?

Factor-metric correlation negative.

An increase in this metric indicates an increase in this factor; a decrease in this metric indicates a decrease in this factor.

Stakeholder forecast summary:
  • Aggregate forecast.19%
  • Disagreement. N/A

*The crowd is forecasting a variation on this question.

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U.S. trust of military/government

Metric:

According to a June 2019 Pew Research Center survey, 64% of surveyed U.S. residents were “very” or “somewhat” concerned about how the government uses their data. Assuming the same question is asked in August 2022, what will the percentage be?

Factor-metric correlation negative.

An increase in this metric indicates an increase in this factor; a decrease in this metric indicates a decrease in this factor.

Stakeholder forecast summary:
  • Aggregate forecast.67%
  • Disagreement. N/A

*The crowd is forecasting a variation on this question.

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More information on stakeholder and crowd forecasts forthcoming.

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