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Question
Crowd Forecast
What percentage of the U.S.’s renewable energy consumption will come from biofuels in 2023?
Closed
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
105
·
808
Will the Democratic Party maintain its majority in the U.S. House of Representatives after the midterm elections in 2022?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:56AM UTC
·
124
·
483
32%
Chance
Partnered with Good Judgment Inc.
When will Joe Biden cease to be president of the United States?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:56AM UTC
·
159
·
471
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome drop below $100 before 1 September 2023?
Closed
Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
101
·
465
4%
Chance
How will the percentage of U.S. residents with "very little" or "some" trust in the U.S. military change over the next three years?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:57AM UTC
·
143
·
360
Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:58AM UTC
·
130
·
347
24%
Chance
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Closed
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
·
123
·
263
Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next four quarters (year)?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:54AM UTC
·
95
·
257
28%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
Closed
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
·
96
·
246
1%
Chance
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Closed
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
·
132
·
235
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