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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will war break out between Hezbollah and Israel in the next month?
Closed
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
73
·
135
7%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
Closed
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
·
96
·
246
1%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
Closed
Nov 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
·
87
·
179
0%
Chance
Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:58AM UTC
·
130
·
347
24%
Chance
Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next four quarters (year)?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:54AM UTC
·
95
·
257
28%
Chance
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear facility in the next 6 months?
Closed
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
60
·
77
13%
Chance
Will the Democratic Party maintain its majority in the U.S. House of Representatives after the midterm elections in 2022?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:56AM UTC
·
124
·
483
32%
Chance
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome drop below $100 before 1 September 2023?
Closed
Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
101
·
465
4%
Chance
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan between July 1, 2021, and June 30, 2022, inclusive?
Closed
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
·
7
·
7
6%
Chance
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Mar 17, 2022)
Closed
Mar 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
51
·
54
0%
Chance
1
2
3
4
5
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