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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will the Global Protest Tracker record a significant antigovernment protest involving 10,000 or more participants in Thailand between April 2023 and April 2024?
Closing
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
66
·
642
0%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Closing
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
541
·
1925
1%
Chance
Will Dina Boluarte cease to be president of Peru through an irregular transition before 1 May 2024?
Closing
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
65
·
441
0%
Chance
Will the U.S. Congress pass a military aid package supporting Ukraine worth at least $10 billion before 1 May 2024?
Closing
May 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
30
·
58
95%
Chance
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many protests and riots will ACLED record in Colombia?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
39
·
337
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many battles and incidents of violence against civilians will ACLED record in Venezuela?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
45
·
367
From 1 June 2023 to 31 May 2024, how many fatalities due to gang violence will ACLED record in El Salvador?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
61
·
493
Will the New York Times, CBC, or BBC announce that they will only publish photos or videos containing digital provenance (e.g., C2PA) by 31 May 2024?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
180
·
881
5%
Chance
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
Closing
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
266
·
1182
15%
Chance
For each of the 5 quarters listed, what is the probability that North America’s share of TSMC’s net revenue will be less than 40%?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
72
·
453
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