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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
Closed
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
·
96
·
246
1%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
Closed
Nov 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
·
87
·
179
0%
Chance
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome drop below $100 before 1 September 2023?
Closed
Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
101
·
465
4%
Chance
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Mar 17, 2022)
Closed
Mar 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
51
·
54
0%
Chance
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Apr 17, 2022)
Closed
Apr 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
65
·
79
0%
Chance
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) on or before 31 March 2023?
Closed
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
9
·
10
96%
Chance
Will more U.S. patent applications mentioning both “quantum computing” and “artificial intelligence” be filed in 2023 than in 2022?
Closed
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
44
·
61
77%
Chance
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Mar 17, 2022)
Closed
Mar 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
58
·
70
0%
Chance
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Apr 17, 2022)
Closed
Apr 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
51
·
59
0%
Chance
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Mar 17, 2022)
Closed
Mar 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
83
·
102
0%
Chance
1
2
3
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