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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Mar 17, 2022)
Closed
Mar 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
58
·
70
0%
Chance
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Mar 17, 2022)
Closed
Mar 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
83
·
102
0%
Chance
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Mar 17, 2022)
Closed
Mar 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
51
·
54
0%
Chance
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Apr 17, 2022)
Closed
Apr 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
51
·
59
0%
Chance
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Apr 17, 2022)
Closed
Apr 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
72
·
84
0%
Chance
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Apr 17, 2022)
Closed
Apr 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
65
·
79
0%
Chance
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
Closed
Nov 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
·
87
·
179
0%
Chance
Which country will have published the second most top tiered journal articles on artificial intelligence in 2022?
Closed
Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
·
59
·
183
Which country or union will publish the second most AI related patents in 2022?
Closed
Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
·
38
·
93
In 2022, will a Chinese institution have the most AI research publications ranked in the top 10%?
Closed
Dec 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
·
38
·
99
88%
Chance
1
2
3
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