Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Sign Up
Sign In
Topics
Questions
Filters
Status
Voided
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Season
2021 Season
All
2024 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2021 Season
2020 Season
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Topics
Select All
Artificial Intelligence (3)
only
China Politics, Relati... (1)
only
International Diplomac... (35)
only
Iran: Threats & Influence (21)
only
Microelectronic Techno... (2)
only
Russia-Ukraine War (6)
only
Science & Technology (14)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Question
Crowd Forecast
Will the Democratic Party maintain its majority in the U.S. House of Representatives after the midterm elections in 2022?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:56AM UTC
·
124
·
483
32%
Chance
Partnered with Good Judgment Inc.
When will Joe Biden cease to be president of the United States?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:56AM UTC
·
159
·
471
How will the percentage of U.S. residents with "very little" or "some" trust in the U.S. military change over the next three years?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:57AM UTC
·
143
·
360
Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:58AM UTC
·
130
·
347
24%
Chance
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Closed
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
·
123
·
263
Will there be an organized employee protest at one of the "Big 5" tech companies against the company's involvement with DoD in the next four quarters (year)?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:54AM UTC
·
95
·
257
28%
Chance
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Closed
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
·
132
·
235
How will the ratio of China-authored to U.S.-authored highly cited (top 1%) AI papers change over the next three years?
Closed
Jan 10, 2022 02:00PM UTC
·
84
·
201
How will the combined annual dollar amount of DoD contracts with the "Big 5" tech companies change over the next three years?
Closed
Jan 13, 2022 12:00AM UTC
·
60
·
161
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 1, 2021 and Jan 1, 2022)
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
·
87
·
120
0%
Chance
1
2
3
Next ›
Last »
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel