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Question
Crowd Forecast
How politically polarized will U.S. citizens be in 2024?
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
·
231
·
556
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Closed
Apr 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
·
173
·
1104
1%
Chance
How will the percentage of U.S residents who are concerned about how the government uses their data change over the next three years?
Closed
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
·
155
·
480
What will the Senate's average Bipartisan Index score be from 2021-2022?
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 04:59AM UTC
·
148
·
593
[Experimental] Did COVID-19 originate in a lab in Wuhan, China?
Closed
Oct 01, 2021 05:59PM UTC
·
144
·
387
35%
Chance
Will the U.S. military acknowledge using an autonomously operated drone to identify and deploy lethal force against a human target in the next four quarters (year)? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 1, 2021 and Jan 1, 2022)
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 01:00PM UTC
·
129
·
308
0%
Chance
Will Imran Khan be re-elected as prime minister following Pakistan’s upcoming general election?
Closed
Feb 09, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
104
·
683
0%
Chance
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years?
Closed
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
102
·
514
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 20, 2023 and Aug 20, 2023)
Closed
Aug 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC
·
102
·
215
0%
Chance
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 20, 2023 and Jul 20, 2023)
Closed
Jul 20, 2023 08:00PM UTC
·
100
·
209
0%
Chance
1
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3
4
5
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