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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 1, 2021 and Feb 1, 2022)
Closed
Feb 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
·
48
·
62
0%
Chance
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 1, 2021 and Jan 1, 2022)
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
·
87
·
120
0%
Chance
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Apr 17, 2022)
Closed
Apr 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
65
·
79
0%
Chance
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Apr 17, 2022)
Closed
Apr 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
72
·
84
0%
Chance
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Apr 17, 2022)
Closed
Apr 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
51
·
59
0%
Chance
How will the ratio of China-authored to U.S.-authored highly cited (top 1%) AI papers change over the next three years?
Closed
Jan 10, 2022 02:00PM UTC
·
84
·
201
How will the percentage of U.S. residents with "very little" or "some" trust in the U.S. military change over the next three years?
Closed
Jan 29, 2022 12:57AM UTC
·
143
·
360
How will the ratio of U.S.-authored to China-authored highly cited AI papers change over the next three years?
Closed
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
0
·
0
How will the percentage of U.S. residents who don't trust the U.S. military change over the next three years?
Closed
Apr 01, 2022 11:00PM UTC
·
13
·
13
How will the combined annual dollar amount of DoD contracts with the "Big 5" tech companies change over the next three years?
Closed
Jan 13, 2022 12:00AM UTC
·
60
·
161
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