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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 1, 2021 and Feb 1, 2022)
Closed
Feb 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
·
48
·
62
0%
Chance
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 1, 2021 and Jan 1, 2022)
Closed
Jan 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
·
87
·
120
0%
Chance
How will the ratio of China-authored to U.S.-authored highly cited (top 1%) AI papers change over the next three years?
Closed
Jan 10, 2022 02:00PM UTC
·
84
·
201
How will the ratio of U.S.-authored to China-authored highly cited AI papers change over the next three years?
Closed
Aug 24, 2022 11:00AM UTC
·
0
·
0
How much will Congress appropriate for the CHIPS for America Act by December 31, 2021?
Closed
Dec 31, 2021 11:59PM UTC
·
0
·
0
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan between July 1, 2021, and June 30, 2022, inclusive?
Closed
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
·
7
·
7
6%
Chance
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Closed
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
·
123
·
263
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI grants between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
Closed
Jul 01, 2021 03:59AM UTC
·
132
·
235
Will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong by April 30, 2021?
Closed
May 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
·
0
·
0
50%
Chance
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in the first half of 2021?
Closed
Mar 01, 2021 04:59AM UTC
·
49
·
71
1
2
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