Started Sep 02, 2021 02:10PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 01, 2022 08:33PM UTC

How will the percentage of U.S. residents with "very little" or "some" trust in the U.S. military change over the next three years?

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Data and resolution details. This question resolves based on the results of an annual Gallup poll, typically conducted in June. The poll asks "Now I am going to read you a list of institutions in American society. Please tell me how much confidence you, yourself, have in each one." One of the institutions is "The military." The answer options are "a great deal, "quite a lot, "some," and "very little."* The historical and forecasted values are the percentage of respondents who select either "very little" or "some." You can read more about the survey methods here (bottom of page). Historical data from 1975 to 2021 is available here.

*Note that some respondents—typically 1% or fewer—volunteer a response of "none." We are not including those responses.

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This question was proposed by Loki.

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Current Crowd Forecast

Time Period Forecast
2022 31.59
2023 31.61
2024 31.6

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